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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of high-purity nickel powder on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ118
Dec 31
87%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering nickel powder with at least 99% nickel and average particle size below 10 micrometres, or porous nickel made from it, under item 1C240. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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