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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of neodymium on December 31, 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ1
2027
68%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2027 (23:59 China Standard Time), China maintains export licensing controls on neodymium shipments beyond standard baseline. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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