Will China restrict exports of neodymium on December 31, 2027?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ12027
68%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2027 (23:59 China Standard Time), China maintains export licensing controls on neodymium shipments beyond standard baseline. Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China have lifted its April 2025 heavy rare earth export licensing (globally or for the US) as of Dec 31, 2026?
9% chance
Will China restrict exports of dysprosium or terbium on December 31, 2026?
69% chance
Will China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?
82% chance
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
27% chance
Will China restrict exports of permanent magnets on December 31, 2027?
67% chance
Will China restrict exports of gadolinium on December 31, 2027?
67% chance
Will China restrict exports of erbium on December 31, 2026?
67% chance
Will China restrict exports of rhenium on December 31, 2026?
80% chance
Will China restrict exports of lutetium on December 31, 2026?
50% chance