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MANIFOLD
Will China restrict exports of cesium on December 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ3
Dec 31
45%
chance

Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has imposed export controls or licensing requirements on cesium or cesium compounds. Resolves NO otherwise.

Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.

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