Will China restrict exports of mercury on December 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ60Dec 31
12%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (23:59 China Standard Time), China has an operative commodity-specific export prohibition, quota, or licensing requirement covering ordinary elemental mercury metal, HS 280540. Resolves NO otherwise.
Resolved from official MOFCOM and General Administration of Customs announcements, supported by major news and trade-press reporting.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will China restrict exports of selenium on December 31, 2026?
38% chance
Will China restrict exports of lead on December 31, 2026?
6% chance
Will China restrict exports of antimony on December 31, 2026?
89% chance
Will China restrict exports of silver on December 31, 2026?
90% chance
Will China restrict exports of tin on December 31, 2026?
89% chance
Will China restrict exports of bismuth on December 31, 2026?
86% chance
Will China restrict exports of zinc powder on December 31, 2026?
82% chance
Will China restrict exports of cadmium telluride on December 31, 2026?
87% chance
Will China restrict exports of electrolytic manganese on December 31, 2026?
42% chance
Will China restrict exports of holmium on December 31, 2026?
63% chance