Will Yudkowsky ever testify to U.S. Congress?
19
1kṀ878
2026
51%
chance

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ150 YES

Wait, is there any reason this closes at the end of 2023 rather than staying open longer or closing at some other seemingly arbitrary near term date? I assume I'm correct in thinking that if he does testify in 2024 or later people would already get their no payouts?

@DavidHiggs I will prolong the end date as long as both Yudkovsky and Congress exist.

People are also trading

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky speak on TV in 2025?
72% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky ever win a Nobel Prize?
7% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?
65% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with a federal crime before the end of 2028?
4% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
75% chance
If Yudkowsky is offered VP nomination, does he accept?
81% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?
4% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
20% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
5% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy