
If Yudkowsky is offered VP nomination, does he accept?
13
100Ṁ3252032
81%
chance
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If at any point before January 1, 2032 Yudkowsky is offered to become or to run to become a US VP, the market resolves to Yes if he accepts; no if he doesn’t accept within a year of the offer. The market resolves N/A if we don’t learn of any such offers.
Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The offer must come from a major party. A major party is defined as:
Any party having a stable >5% chance of winning according to prediction markets during the election cycle.
Democratic and Republican parties are explicitly included.
The Libertarian party likely does not qualify unless circumstances change.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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