If at any point before January 1, 2032 Yudkowsky is offered to become or to run to become a US VP, the market resolves to Yes if he accepts; no if he doesn’t accept within a year of the offer. The market resolves N/A if we don’t learn of any such offers.
Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The offer must come from a major party. A major party is defined as:
Any party having a stable >5% chance of winning according to prediction markets during the election cycle.
Democratic and Republican parties are explicitly included.
The Libertarian party likely does not qualify unless circumstances change.
1,000@Elspeth i meant a major party. let's operationalize it as any party having a stable >5% chance of winning according to prediction markets during the election cycle. Democratic and Republican parties count, Libertarian party probably doesn't unless something changes.