Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
27
1kṀ1021
2029
6%
chance

Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Eliezer Yudkowsky (Co-founder of MIRI, AI safety researcher and rationality writer) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.

Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030. Part of a large question series.

Question is global -- charges in any country count.

Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.

Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy