Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
72
10k
2029
64%
chance

From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims.

Resolves YES if either:

  1. An invited participant clearly and unambiguously quotes Eliezer Yudkowsky.

  2. An identifying percentage of his name passes any invited participant's lips for any reason. Doesn't matter what the context is.

Resolves NO if it doesn't.

Get Ṁ600 play money