Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
➕
Plus
101
Ṁ14k
2029
73%
chance

From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims.

Resolves YES if either:

  1. An invited participant clearly and unambiguously quotes Eliezer Yudkowsky.

  2. An identifying percentage of his name passes any invited participant's lips for any reason. Doesn't matter what the context is.

Resolves NO if it doesn't.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules