Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
Basic
76
Ṁ11k2029
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From: https://x.com/_ArnaudS_/status/1793209848953233872, clarifying Tyler Cowen's claims.
Resolves YES if either:
An invited participant clearly and unambiguously quotes Eliezer Yudkowsky.
An identifying percentage of his name passes any invited participant's lips for any reason. Doesn't matter what the context is.
Resolves NO if it doesn't.
Get Ṁ600 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?
43% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have any meeting about AI with any member of the US congress, senate, or white house before 2025?
42% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?
30% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Destiny have another in-depth discussion before the end of 2024?
19% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on The Ezra Klein Show podcast by the end of 2024?
25% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?
46% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?
22% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?
11% chance