By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens? | Manifold

By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?

78

1.4kṀ6765

Dec 31

8%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Based on Gallup surveys. 33% said aliens in 2019. 41% said aliens in 2022.

Criteria: Resolves based on first post-January 1st, 2025 Gallup survey asking "We have a question about unidentified flying objects, also known as UFOs. Which comes closer to your view -- [some UFOs have been alien spacecraft visiting Earth from other planets or galaxies, (or) all UFO sightings can be explained by human activity on Earth or natural phenomenon]?" https://news.gallup.com/poll/350096/americans-believe-ufos.aspx

Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Gallup never polls this question again, the market will resolve N/A.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the United States government admit there are alien UFOs by July 4?

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030

Will UFOs be recognized as a culture-bound illness/mass hysteria before 2050?

Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?

P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

By what year will we know that any past UFO/UAP was really Alien technology?

Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?

Will a US President (or Presidential Task Force) confirm an extraterrestrial or non-human intelligence by 2030?

Sort by:

What if Gallup never polls this question again?

@diracdeltafunk I'd resolve NA.

I have some healthy limit orders placed if anyone would like to fill them.

People are also trading

Will the United States government admit there are alien UFOs by July 4?

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030

Will UFOs be recognized as a culture-bound illness/mass hysteria before 2050?

Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?

P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

By what year will we know that any past UFO/UAP was really Alien technology?

Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?

Will a US President (or Presidential Task Force) confirm an extraterrestrial or non-human intelligence by 2030?

Related questions

Will the United States government admit there are alien UFOs by July 4?

Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030

Will UFOs be recognized as a culture-bound illness/mass hysteria before 2050?

Will aliens make a public debut before 2030?

P(Aliens) - Are the 2020-2022 Pentagon UFO Navy videos evidence of human-level or above intelligent life in the Milky Way?

By what year will we know that any past UFO/UAP was really Alien technology?

Will strong evidence of aliens be discovered before 2030?

Will a US President (or Presidential Task Force) confirm an extraterrestrial or non-human intelligence by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy