Will Claudia Sheinbaum publicly advocate for Solar Geoengineering during her term as president of Mexico?
6
1kṀ134
2030
56%
chance

Resolves to 'YES' if Claudia Sheinbaum publicly advocates for Geoengineering before the end of her term on December 1, 2030

'publicly advocate' means she will mention Geoengineering in a positive way, either in a speech or policy proposal, or in any other way that is intended to be heard by the general public

  • Update 2024-18-12 (PST): Solar Geoengineering specifically refers to suspending particles in the upper atmosphere to prevent sunlight from reaching the earth, similar to a simulated volcano aftermath. Other forms of land modification like terracing, earthworks, or river redirection do not qualify. (AI summary of creator comment)

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Market asks a question that will take a judgement call to resolve, but the creator hasn't declared they won't bet in it. And oh, look, the first bet is by the creator. But does he have a 5-star rating at least? No?

Hard pass. Interesting question, though!

@DanHomerick what is that supposed to mean

@Yoae it means I thought it was an interesting market, but I chose not to bet for the stated reasons.

@DanHomerick because I bet on my own market?

@Yoae yeah. "Publicly advocate" is a quite broad phrase that requires interpretation. As the person doing that interpretation, betting in your own market is a red flag. When combined with less-than-perfect reviews of your previous market resolutions, it becomes a hard pass.

I think I was pretty clear about my reasoning in the first post. I don't know why you're prompting me to restate my objections.

@DanHomerick thank you for explaining that

bought Ṁ20 YES

What's the definition of (solar) geoengineering? e.g. does terracing or other earthworks on agricultural land count? Redirecting a river? Is there a requirement for it to be large scale projects?

@VitorBosshard solar Geoengineering involves suspending particles in the upper atmosphere to prevent sunlight from reaching the earth. Think of it like a simulated volcano aftermath.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy