Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mexico experiences two or more calendar years of negative real GDP growth (i.e., a contraction in GDP) between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2030. The determination will be based on official annual GDP growth data published by Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) or other reputable sources such as the World Bank or the International Monetary Fund (IMF). If two or more years within this period show a negative percentage change in real GDP compared to the previous year, the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No".