During a 4 month period, will Lula score a 55%+ approval rating by 2 or more major pooling outlets during his current term?
Basic
9
Ṁ14552027
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If during a 120 day period, the mainstream media reports 2 distinct pooling outlets reporting a 55% job approval rating (good/great or similar) for Lula, this market resolves to YES.
AtlasIntel, Datafolha, Futura, Ipec, and Quaest will be considered major.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Biden's approval rating be 40% or higher at the end of October 2024?
10% chance
Will Lula's government have an approval rating of 50% or higher on December 31st, 2024?
47% chance
Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?
42% chance
By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
55% chance
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
56% chance
Will Manifold's Approval Ratings end the year over 50%? (Poll Index version)
45% chance
Will there be a USA president that ends their term with an average approval of 55% or more in the next 20 years?
59% chance
Will Biden's Approval Rating Reach 50%?
19% chance
Will Manifold's Approval Ratings end the year over 75%? (Poll Index version)
26% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
22% chance