Will Bolivia go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030? | Manifold

Will Bolivia go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030?

2

100Ṁ40

2030

59%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bolivia experiences two or more calendar years of negative real GDP growth (i.e., economic contraction) between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2030. The determination will be based on official annual GDP growth data published by the Instituto Nacional de Estadística de Bolivia (INE) or, if unavailable, reputable international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) or the World Bank. If the data indicates that Bolivia's real GDP growth was negative for two or more years within the specified period, the market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

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