1. Creation condition
This market will only resolve if an International Stabilization Force (ISF) (or equivalent multinational deployment for Gaza security) is formally announced or authorized by a recognized multilateral body (e.g., UN, Arab League, or coalition including multiple states).
If no such force is ever agreed or deployed, the market resolves N/A.
2. Country-level resolution
Each country option resolves YES if it deploys more than 50 active-duty military personnel physically inside the Gaza Strip as part of the ISF mission.
“Deploys” means either:
Public official confirmation by the country’s government or defense ministry, or
Credible reporting by at least two major international outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC) confirming on-site presence.
3. Definition of “military personnel"
Counts: active-duty armed forces members (army, navy, air force, marines, special forces) assigned to ISF operations inside Gaza.
Includes personnel in any role: security, logistics, medical, or humanitarian.
Excludes: civilian contractors, police not under military command, and any personnel stationed outside Gaza.
4. Timing and closure
The market will remain open while ISF negotiations are active.
If an official deployment plan is adopted, the closure date will be updated to match the expected deployment timeline.
If negotiations are formally declared abandoned, the market will close 10 weeks later, unless talks resume within that window.
If negotiations remain broken after 10 weeks, the market resolves N/A.
5. Sources
Resolution will rely on official government releases and recognized international media (Reuters, AP, AFP, BBC, Al Jazeera, The Guardian, NYT, Haaretz, etc.).
In case of conflicting reports, official government confirmation takes precedence.
Options
I added an initial list of countries already mentioned in the news. Feel free to add more options.
Market creator participation
I will bet on this market. I will add some Limit Orders for additional liquidity.
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