On January 24, 2026, another civilian was killed by a DHS agent. What will happen this time?

This market will resolve following the same criteria as the market it copied: https://manifold.markets/GuyCohen/what-will-happen-as-a-result-of-the-ZUlNhtULns

• Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Any ICE killing of a civilian within the 30-day period will count as a result of the Minneapolis shooting, regardless of whether there is a direct causal connection to the original incident.

• Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that current protests are fairly small compared to the Floyd ones and are more comparable to typical anti-ICE protests seen in 2025. This suggests a high bar for what would constitute "George Floyd-level protests" for resolution purposes.

• Update 2026-01-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): George Floyd-level protests will count for resolution purposes if they become violent, regardless of their size.

• Update 2026-01-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will consider actions by all DHS agents (including Border Patrol agents), not just ICE agents specifically.