Will the ICE deployment in Minnesota be substantially reduced by June 1, 2026?
4
1kṀ1277May 31
65%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There are currently, per news reports, somewhere between 2000 and 3000 ICE agents deployed to Minnesota as part of "Operation Metro Surge", which has been ongoing since early December. If on June 1, 2026, the best estimate available from mainstream news sources of the number of ICE agents still actively deployed in the state is less than 500, this question resolves YES. Otherwise it resolves NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What will happen as a result of the ICE shooting in Minneapolis in the next 2 Years?
When will the current Minneapolis/ICE news cycle end?
EIA Projection for U.S. ICE market share in 2026?
ICE spends at least $25.5 billion in 2025? (budget estimate: $30 billion)
86% chance
In 2027, will Manifold poll show Minnesota shooting had greater immigration enforcement impact than Laken Riley?
72% chance
Will there be a large violent dispute between protesters and ICE in 2026?
69% chance
Will Pritzker, Newsome, or any other state governor attempt to have the state police arrest ICE agents by July 2026?
23% chance
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
66% chance
What will happen as a result of the ICE shooting in Minneapolis in the next 30 days?