On June 21, 2025, the United States completed air strikes on three nuclear sites in Iran: Fordo, Natanz and Isfahan.
While the US claims the sites were completely destroyed, Iran claims impact was minimal. This question asks: how many more months away from a nuclear weapon is the Islamic Republic?
This question will resolve using estimates produced by international governing bodies, such as the IAEA. These estimates may not be available soon, and the question will extend until a firm estimate is produced by an international agency.
U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff says that Iran is just a "week away" from having material enriched sufficiently for a bomb: https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/article-887433
The article caveats "though the envoy left out that Iran currently has no access to its material, no machines to enrich it, and no weapons program to use it for any operational purpose"
A leaked DIA assessment estimates the program was only set back "months": https://www.cnn.com/2025/06/24/politics/intel-assessment-us-strikes-iran-nuclear-sites