Underrated or overrated ? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are overrated this week ?
42
2.2kṀ8793
Jan 12
97%
ChatGPT
93%
Tokyo
91%
Dublin
91%
The olympic games
80%
Josh Shapiro
75%
The world chess championship
71%
Paul Graham
57%
Tyler Cowen
51%
Brussels
50%
Michael Sandel
50%
Greg Brockman
50%
Daryl Morey
50%
@KongoLanwalker’s chess markets
48%
Trader bonuses (on Manifold)
47%
Venice
45%
Leaving (Manifold) markets open some time after events occur so that some traders can take the remaining liquidity
41%
Rematch (the arte series about the 2nd Kasparov vs Deep Blue match)
41%
The European Union
41%
J D Vance
39%
Insider trading (on Manifold)

You can submit any person/character/concept (shortened to p/c/c for the rest of the description), as well as a link / short phrase to give traders some context. If other people trade on your submission, you'll get mana off of their transaction fees.

I may N/A options for quality control, or edit them to provide a more neutral summary.

You can help us in resolving options by spending at least 1 mana on each person/character/concept you have an opinion on. Buy YES if you think it's overrated, and NO if you think it's underrated.

As a trader, you should buy any amount of YES in p/c/c you think are overrated, buy any amount of NO in p/c/c you think are underrated. The amount of shares doesn't matter for the resolution, one share of yes is one vote and one hundred shares of yes is also one vote.

The market will close every Sunday at circa Noon London time. I will then check the positions tab on options that have been submitted.

If there is a clear majority of YES holders, the option resolves YES. If there is a clear majority of NO holders, the option resolves NO. If it's very close and votes are still coming in, the option will remain un-resolved. The market will then re-open for new submissions, with a new close date the next week. This continues as long as I think the market is worth running. It does not matter what % the market is at, and bots holding a position are also counted. In a tie, the option will not resolve that day. Options may resolve in between weeks if they are from a previous week and the scales are clearly tilted enough.

Heavily inspired from @Bayesian's excellent market, Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?

and from @NicoDelon's excellent market Over (yes)/underrated (no) intellectuals according to Manifold [resolves to poll]

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