High Class or Low Class? - Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "High Class" in 2026? (add answers)
7
1.6kṀ989
Dec 31
89%
Sailing
87%
Going to Horse Races
84%
Skiing
82%
Mountains
61%
Snowboarding
60%
Having more than 5 kids
60%
Captcha
59%
Using generative AI
56%
Appearing on the JRE podcast
52%
Hunting
44%
Christmas lights up after the New Year
43%
Environmental activists
41%
Using Food Delivery Apps
41%
Prediction markets
38%
Caring about whether a certain behavior is high class or low class
35%
Starbucks

Each answer contains a question: Do you think the person/character/concept is more High Class (YES) or more Low Class (NO)? Bet YES, or NO, according to your opinion. RULES CHANGE: this will now be impacted by the amount of shares you hold to increase accuracy.

Heavily inspired from @Joshua's excellent market,

Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?

You can submit any person/character/concept (shortened to p/c/c for the rest of the description), as well as a link / short phrase to give traders some context.

I may N/A options for quality control, or edit them to provide a more neutral summary.


As a trader, you should buy any amount of YES in p/c/c you think are High Class, buy any amount of NO in p/c/c you think are Low Class. I will leave the definition of those terms up to you. The amount of shares DOES matter for the resolution.

The market will close on Dec 31 2026. I will then check the positions tab on options that have been submitted.

  • Update 2025-08-01 (PST): - Resolution Criteria:

    • An option resolves to YES if it receives more than 50% of the total votes.

    • It resolves to NO if it receives 50% or less.

    • The number of individual votes does not impact the resolution. (AI summary of creator comment)

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bought Ṁ4 NO

Being high class is low class, especially if being high class includes having above the median amount of income or wealth.

bought Ṁ20 YES

@droptable christmas runs at least to january six and possibly until february second, according to tradition. Following tradition is high class, following the mass of consumers is low class.

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