Navier Stonks (ie Will the prize for the resolution of the Navier-Stokes millenium problem be taken ?)
Navier Stonks (ie Will the prize for the resolution of the Navier-Stokes millenium problem be taken ?)
9
280Ṁ1659999
74%
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If the 1 million dollar prize pledged by the Clay Institute of Mathematics for the resolution of the Navier Stokes problem is taken, then this resolves YES. (Typically : someone solves the problem and accepts the money)
If it’s clear consensual that it won’t be taken, then this resolves NO. (For example the Clay Institute of Mathematics ceases to exist and no money related to this problem is saved to be awarded later, or someone solves the problem, is awarded the money and refuses it.)
If the money is awarded and redirected (like idk someone gets the prize and asks for it to be given to MIRI), this resolves YES.
In case the resolution is conflictual, I’ll use my judgement, so I won’t bet on this market.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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