Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved by 2030?
25
1kṀ767
2031
29%
chance

as per the Clay Mathematics Institute:

Prove or give a counter-example of the following statement:

In three space dimensions and time, given an initial velocity field, there exists a vector velocity and a scalar pressure field, which are both smooth and globally defined, that solve the Navier–Stokes equations.

More info:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness

This market resolves to YES if the Clay Mathematics Institute (or equivalent organization) agrees that the Navier-Stokes problem has been solved, whether that be proved or disproved as per above by the end of 2030.

Otherwise this market resolves to NO.

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