When will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved?

275Ṁ517

2031

August 23, 2035

ALL

Before 2027

27%

Before 2029

45%

Before 2031

50%

Before 2033

81%

Before 2035

54%

Before 2037

57%

Before 2039

61%

Before 2041

76%

Before 2043

89%

Before 2045

90%

Before 2046

Prove or give a counter-example of the following statement:

In three space dimensions and time, given an initial velocity field, there exists a vector velocity and a scalar pressure field, which are both smooth and globally defined, that solve the Navier–Stokes equations.

More info:

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness

This market resolves to YES if the Clay Mathematics Institute (or equivalent organization) agrees that the Navier-Stokes problem has been solved

Otherwise this market resolves to NO.

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How should one bet, if one thinks it will never be solved? What factors should go into one's trading decision?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I am not arguing that that is the case, just the question occured to me.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen no on all these

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