Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?
39
1kṀ2621
2026
7%
chance

This market will resolve to YES if before the end of 2025, there is a credible claim that another Millennium Problem was solved. Although I do not plan to wait for Clay Mathematics Institute to give the award.

The claim doesn't need to be right, although I'll wait for more evidence if a claim comes way before the deadline.

Creator policy: I won't bet.

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Millennium Prize Problems
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predictedNO

Related:

https://manifold.markets/JosephNoonan/will-any-millenium-prize-problem-ot

https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/which-millennium-prize-problem-will

predictedYES

Related:

Some progress towards Navier-Stokes:

https://www.quantamagazine.org/computer-helps-prove-long-sought-fluid-equation-singularity-20221116/
https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.07191

Related market: https://manifold.markets/MP/will-artificial-intelligence-be-par

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