Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?
52
Ṁ1kṀ8.1kresolved Jan 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to YES if before the end of 2025, there is a credible claim that another Millennium Problem was solved. Although I do not plan to wait for Clay Mathematics Institute to give the award.
The claim doesn't need to be right, although I'll wait for more evidence if a claim comes way before the deadline.
Creator policy: I won't bet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ168 | |
| 2 | Ṁ108 | |
| 3 | Ṁ64 | |
| 4 | Ṁ63 | |
| 5 | Ṁ59 |
People are also trading
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
24% chance
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
8% chance
Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?
79% chance
At least 5 Millennium Prize problems solved by the end of 2026?
9% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
54% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
98% chance
Will a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?
5% chance
When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
95% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
98% chance
Sort by:
Some progress towards Navier-Stokes:
https://www.quantamagazine.org/computer-helps-prove-long-sought-fluid-equation-singularity-20221116/
https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.07191
People are also trading
Related questions
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
24% chance
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
8% chance
Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?
79% chance
At least 5 Millennium Prize problems solved by the end of 2026?
9% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
54% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
98% chance
Will a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?
5% chance
When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
95% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
98% chance