Will another Millennium Problem be resolved before the end of 2025?
48
1kṀ4881
Jan 1
5%
chance

This market will resolve to YES if before the end of 2025, there is a credible claim that another Millennium Problem was solved. Although I do not plan to wait for Clay Mathematics Institute to give the award.

The claim doesn't need to be right, although I'll wait for more evidence if a claim comes way before the deadline.

Creator policy: I won't bet.

Math
Millennium Prize Problems
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
50% chance
By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
12% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
8% chance
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
49% chance
When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Which Millennium Prize problem will be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?
Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?
75% chance
Will a new problem be added to the Millennium Prize Problems by the end of 2030?
3% chance
Will a Millennium Prize problem be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?
1% chance
Sort by:
predictedNO

Related:

https://manifold.markets/JosephNoonan/will-any-millenium-prize-problem-ot

https://manifold.markets/NcyRocks/which-millennium-prize-problem-will

predictedYES

Related:

Some progress towards Navier-Stokes:

https://www.quantamagazine.org/computer-helps-prove-long-sought-fluid-equation-singularity-20221116/
https://arxiv.org/abs/2210.07191

Related market: https://manifold.markets/MP/will-artificial-intelligence-be-par

Comment hidden

People are also trading

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
50% chance
By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
12% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
8% chance
Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030?
49% chance
When will one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved?
Which Millennium Prize problem will be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?
Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?
75% chance
Will a new problem be added to the Millennium Prize Problems by the end of 2030?
3% chance
Will a Millennium Prize problem be solved in the year 2025 with the help of AI?
1% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy