Will Emmanuel Macron be re-elected as President of France in the 2022 Presidential Election?
9
102Ṁ2180
resolved Apr 24
Resolved
YES
Metaculus
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ31
2Ṁ5
3Ṁ3
4Ṁ3
5Ṁ2

People are also trading

Will Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?
9% chance
Who will be the next president of France after Macron?
Who will win the 2027 french presidential election
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
3% chance
Will Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?
5% chance
Who will be the next president of France?
Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?
6% chance
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
If a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
66% chance
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
9% chance
Sort by:
Would it be reasonable to mirror markets for elections with the Metaculus Bot? It would seem totally reasonable to restrict that to federal or a subset of federal elections. It would also guarantee consistency of such markets, since they would come from the same place
@LivInTheLookingGlass I can definitely target election markets as my next set of markets I create. Thanks!
@LivInTheLookingGlass oh boy, it looks like there are 271 Metaculus markets on elections: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/?search=cat:elections Any ones you're particularly interested in that you'd like me to start with? Perhaps one of the subcategories?: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/categories/
@MetaculusBot I would say (in order of priority) state ballot initiatives, Canadian, then US Congressional markets that are closest to a tossup
Free money.

People are also trading

Will Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?
9% chance
Who will be the next president of France after Macron?
Who will win the 2027 french presidential election
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
3% chance
Will Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?
5% chance
Who will be the next president of France?
Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?
6% chance
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
If a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
66% chance
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
9% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy