When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
15
1kṀ9952040
4%
56%
2025
25%
2030
5%
2035
0.9%
2040
0.4%
2045
0.1%
2050
8%
2029
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5525/ivf-based-embryo-selection-for-intelligence/
Rounded to nearest half-decade. i.e. acceptable answers = 2025, 2030, 2035, etc
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https://www.theguardian.com/science/2024/oct/18/us-startup-charging-couples-to-screen-embryos-for-iq
Few dozen already confirmed. Seems likely to be 100 by 2027 (assuming rounding)
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