When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?
➕
Plus
14
Ṁ760
2040
3%
Other
70%
2025
18%
2030
4%
2035
0.6%
2040
0.3%
2045
0%
2050
5%
2029
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5525/ivf-based-embryo-selection-for-intelligence/ Rounded to nearest half-decade. i.e. acceptable answers = 2025, 2030, 2035, etc
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ500 YES

https://www.theguardian.com/science/2024/oct/18/us-startup-charging-couples-to-screen-embryos-for-iq

Few dozen already confirmed. Seems likely to be 100 by 2027 (assuming rounding)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules