When will some country do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
8
43
Ṁ1662300
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1.4%
2025
11%
2030
13%
2035
14%
2040
6%
2045
4%
2050
3%
2055
1.6%
2090
3%
2060
3%
2065
2%
2070
1.6%
2075
1.6%
2080
1.6%
2085
1.6%
2095
1.6%
2100
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9785/10-embryo-selection-for-iq-when/
Rounded to nearest 5th year. i.e. acceptable answers = 2050, 2055, 2060, etc
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
37% chance
What will be the first ten countries to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
What will be the first country to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Will Israel be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
46% chance
Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
62% chance
Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
42% chance
Will it be revealed that at least 3 people with Wikipedia articles have done IQ selection on their children before 2028?
43% chance
When will there be a confirmation* of an adult human, whose IQ score was improved by 15 by gene-editing?
Will most of the first 100 IQ-selected "designer babies" be born in China?
40% chance
Will at least one >80% subsaharan ancestry country score above Ukraine on PISA for at least one year before 2100 without mass genetic enhancement?
40% chance