When will some country do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
8
820Ṁ3362300
15%
2040
14%
2035
12%
2030
8%
2045
6%
2050
6%
2065
6%
2060
5%
2055
5%
2070
4%
2080
4%
2085
3%
2075
3%
2095
3%
2100
3%
2%
2090
2%
2025
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/9785/10-embryo-selection-for-iq-when/
Rounded to nearest 5th year. i.e. acceptable answers = 2050, 2055, 2060, etc
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will over 100,000 people be conceived with the help of advanced embryo selection techniques by 2030?
52% chance
What will be the first country to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
What will be the first ten countries to do widespread embryo selection for intelligence?
Which country will be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
7% chance
Will the USA be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
42% chance
Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
18% chance
Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
59% chance
Will Singapore be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
28% chance
Will Singapore be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?
68% chance