[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?

Will a genius grant be awarded to someone acknowledged to be the result of genetic IQ selection before 2055

Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

More than 5% of children in the US born from embryos with polygenic risk assessments by 2040?

Will a GWAS be broadly cited by hereditarians as strong evidence for a > 40% heritability of cognitive ability by 2035?

Will average IQ in developed countries drop 15 points or more by EOY 2098?

Will Stephen Hsu have a IQ PRS score of > +1.68 by Savage et al. 2018 study SNPs?

What percent of enrolled MIT students will have undergone artificial gain of intelligence at the end of 2030?

Will >50% of Razib Khan+Chelsea Voss gene pairings have a IQ PRS score of > +2.18 by Savage et al. 2018 study SNPs?