How good will the best published polygenic score be for intelligence in 2026?
Basic
6
Ṁ1512027
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Is there a genetic contribution of at least 50% to the black/white IQ gap in 2023? [Resolves to the popular consensus in 2060]
45% chance
What will be the best score on the GPQA benchmark before 2025?
82% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2028?
65% chance
Will a genius grant be awarded to someone acknowledged to be the result of genetic IQ selection before 2055
27% chance
What will be the best score on the GAIA benchmark before 2025?
46% chance
Will an AI be capable of achieving a perfect score on the Putnam exam before 2030?
68% chance
If a definitive genetic study of race and intelligence gets performed, what will the W/B genetic g difference be?
9.5
What will be the best score on the WebArena benchmark before 2025?
47% chance
In 2024, creation of IQ PRS score calculator for https://diyhpl.us/wiki/genetic-modifications like OakVar for longevity?
50% chance
What will be the best score on the SWE-Bench (unassisted) benchmark before 2025?
39% chance