MaximilianG avatar
Maximilian G
closes Dec 31
Will a Covid vaccine be pulled off the market due to safety concerns in 2023?
16%
chance

Resolves to YES if a vaccine that was widely administered (more than 1 million doses) is pulled off the market due to safety concerns in at least one OECD country, at any point in 2023.

Otherwise resolves to NO.

The term "pulled off the market" does not apply if rollout is only temporarily paused for 30 days or less.

Sort by:
jacksonpolack avatar
jackson polack

does something like https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/johnson-johnson-vaccine-should-be-paused-u-s-after-extremely-n1263898 count as 'being pulled off the market due to safety concerns'?

MaximilianG avatar
Maximilian G

@jacksonpolack The term "pulled off the market" does not apply if rollout is only temporarily paused for 30 days or less.