In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine? | Manifold

In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?

Plus

32

Ṁ1240

2035

55%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Includes all lethal health effects caused by any Covid vaccine. Includes all doses of the vaccine, including any given in the future.

If there is no clear consensus in 2035, this resolves N/A.

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Is there consensus now that at least one died from them?

The only side effect so far that has proven to cause death in significant numbers was the TTS of the adeno-Vector-vaccines.

Here is a study from Australia showing that vaccination of everyone 18-65 with these vaccines would have caused at most 153 people to have died.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X21008720

However these vaccines were not even the most common ones to be used.

I am just not sure whether you mean „Americans“ or US-Americans.

Is this net of lives saved?

No.

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