Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030? | Manifold

Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?

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2030

75%

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It will be resolved yes if the official publication launch date is before 2030, and if it is also actually being sold in at least some bookstores before 2030.

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#A Song of Ice and Fire

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Can you clarify if GRRM has to be the author?

Also please clarify if another author co-writes if that counts.

For example, if GRRM drops dead tonight (gods forbid) this market should resolve NO.

Yes, he has to be an author of it

A co-author is allowed. As long as he is an author.

If he drops dead, I would still wait to resolve it, since they may publish what he has posthumously

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