Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?
21
1kṀ5066
2030
72%
chance
5

It will be resolved yes if the official publication launch date is before 2030, and if it is also actually being sold in at least some bookstores before 2030.

Market context
Books
A Song of Ice and Fire
Literature
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Can you clarify if GRRM has to be the author?

Also please clarify if another author co-writes if that counts.

For example, if GRRM drops dead tonight (gods forbid) this market should resolve NO.

Yes, he has to be an author of it

A co-author is allowed. As long as he is an author.

If he drops dead, I would still wait to resolve it, since they may publish what he has posthumously

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