Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?
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Resolves YES if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the series A Song Of Ice And Fire is released by 2030, and is authored by George R. R. Martin.

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Does GRRM have to be the sole author/alive when the book is formally announced? Or does a โ€œPale Kingโ€ situation a la DFW count as a YES here for resolution purposes?

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Just saw this question. Going by the text of the question, I think he doesn't have to be alive, but does have to be the sole author. (Though if I were writing a new question I would probably require him to be alive.)