Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?
35
128
620
2031
65%
chance

Resolves YES if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the series A Song Of Ice And Fire is released by 2030, and is authored by George R. R. Martin.

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Does GRRM have to be the sole author/alive when the book is formally announced? Or does a “Pale King” situation a la DFW count as a YES here for resolution purposes?