Elon Musk-endorsed candidate can be another Republican winning in a Republican primary against the incumbent, in which case the results of the general election for that seat will be ignored, or a member of any party (including another Republican in the states with non-partisan general elections) winning in a general election.
Only the midterm elections on 11/3/2026 will be considered.
Endorsement will be confirmed by Musk's public statements or reliable reports of Musk's campaign contributions.
1,000Market was ~50% when I bet. I calculate ~11%. Every Republican incumbent who lost this year lost to a Trump pick. Musk's PAC began spending in September, after Cornyn had already lost, and it backs Republicans against Democrats. You priced a feud that ended. NO. https://abc57.com/news/elon-musk-s-super-pac-starts-spending-to-help-gop-in-midterms-including-texas-ken-paxton
The cycle continues.