Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?
21
100Ṁ11972026
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, at least one individual affiliated with Elon Musk's America Party, or any other new party founded with Musk’s help, is elected to the United States Congress (either the House of Representatives or the Senate). To count, the individual must not be running under the Democratic or Republican ticket.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Elon Musk create a political party in 2025?
51% chance
Will Elon musk form a new political party
52% chance
What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026?
Will Elon Musk endorse a Democrat for president in the next decade? (by November 2034)
45% chance
Elon Musk announces support for a Democratic candidate before August 1, 2025
4% chance
Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?
26% chance
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
26% chance
Musk child holds elected political office by mid 2034
10% chance
Will any GOP member of the US Congress lose their 2026 election to a candidate endorsed by Elon Musk?
56% chance
Elon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
55% chance