Will Scott Alexander publicly release another long-term predictions post before April 1st 2023?
13
Ṁ270Ṁ1.3kresolved Feb 21
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
On February 15th 2018, Scott Alexander released a post called "Five More Years" in which he provided predictions for 2023.
This question resolves to YES if Scott Alexander publicly releases a single post after February 18th 2023, and before April 1st 2023, that details at least 5 separate specific predictions, with precise credences attached, that each intend to be resolved in or after 2028. Otherwise, this question resolves to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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