Will a Western government block the release of an AI model by the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will a Western government block the release of an AI model by the end of 2024?

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Multiple governments are moving to regulate AI. Meanwhile, AI companies are charging ahead. By the end of 2024, will a Western government block the release of an AI model?

(Western government primarily because i don't feel like i have good enough visibility into what China is doing)

Things that count:

-Complete block

-Company may only release the model after mandated significant changes

-Government-imposed delay with no definite end point

-Government blocks the open-sourcing of weights, even if model is allowed to run

Things that don't:

-Government-imposed delay for a specific set duration that is not likely to be extended

-Self-imposed block or delay in fear of government action

-Company may only release the model after doing some paperwork that doesn't involve making changes to the model

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What if a government regulates models?

Eg:

The model must not answer this type of question, or some such.

predictedNO

@Daniel_MC i will do my best to determine if this amounts to a mandate for significant changes to the model assuming the government orders that the model cannot be released if it does answer such a question.

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