
Will the US restrict transfer of trained AI models before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing)
11
Ṁ130Ṁ1.7kresolved Feb 20
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ32 | |
| 2 | Ṁ28 | |
| 3 | Ṁ19 | |
| 4 | Ṁ14 | |
| 5 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2027?
24% chance
Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?
77% chance
Will the US require a license to develop frontier AI models by 2028?
44% chance
Will a country ban advanced AI systems before 2027?
18% chance
Significant legal restrictions on AI in the USA by June 2027
81% chance
Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027
29% chance
Will the US fund defensive information security R&D for limiting unintended proliferation of dangerous AI models by 2028
43% chance
By 2030 will regulations or laws make it prohibitively difficult to develop AI models in the United States?
20% chance
Will the US implement information security requirements for frontier AI models by 2028?
88% chance
When will a national law be in force in the US imposing safety requirements on the training/deployment of AI models?