When will Trump serve time?
2.5k
21kṀ1.8m
2029
91%
Never
0%
2023 (NO)
0.1%
2024
0.6%
2025
0.2%
2026
0.3%
2027
0.5%
2028
4%
2029
4%
2030s
0%
2040s or later

Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence. Markets close will be extended as needed.

What counts?

  • Prison, jail or house arrest pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.

  • Prison, jail or house arrest post-conviction counts.

  • Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.

  • It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his imprisonment.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy