Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ131Jan 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
13% chance
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?
39% chance
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2026?
56% chance
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by December 20 2024?
46% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
41% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Israel strike at Iran’s nuclear facilities in Natanz by the end of 2024.
12% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
26% chance
Will an Iranian naval asset be sunk by hostile action in 2024?
41% chance