Iran closes Strait of Hormuz to international shipping in 2025
26
Ṁ120Ṁ2.6kresolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to 'Yes' if, before 2026, Iran officially announces and enforces the closure of the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping. Verification can be through official Iranian government statements or reports from reputable news agencies. The strategic significance of the Strait and its role in global oil transportation are key considerations in this market.
I never bet on my own markets.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ187 | |
| 2 | Ṁ70 | |
| 3 | Ṁ52 | |
| 4 | Ṁ39 | |
| 5 | Ṁ37 |
People are also trading
Related questions
On July 26th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
More ships through Strait of Hormuz than goals at 2026 FIFA World Cup?
98% chance
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? [Polymarket]
44% chance
Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
38% chance
Who will control the Strait of Hormuz on December 1, 2026?
Will Iran still be charging tolls in the strait of hermuz on January 1st, 2027?
37% chance
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
1% chance
Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
40% chance
Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
38% chance
Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030?
59% chance