Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2026?
31
110Ṁ21272027
10%
chance
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If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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