Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2026?
Basic
3
Ṁ452027
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?
39% chance
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will Iran declare that they are a nuclear power by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will Iran blockade the Strait of Hormuz before Israel's invasion of the Gaza Strip ends?
14% chance
Will Iran use Iraq to stage an attack on Israel before the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
26% chance
Will the US and Iran go to war by end 2024?
3% chance
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will Iran announce it is a nuclear state by end of 2024?
7% chance