Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2025?
12
110Ṁ4472026
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Israel strike Iran's nuclear facilities before the end of 2025?
89% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
20% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
6% chance
Will Israeli soldiers set foot in Iran before the end of 2025?
21% chance
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
35% chance
Will Iran blockade the Strait of Hormuz before Israel's invasion of the Gaza Strip ends?
16% chance
Open Conflict in Iran by April 2026?
62% chance
Will Iran experience regime change in 2025?
20% chance
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by the end of 2026?
21% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
7% chance