This market resolves YES if Virginia Question 3 (Should the Constitution of Virginia be amended (i) to provide for the fundamental right to vote in the Commonwealth, (ii) to revise the qualifications of voters so that a person convicted of a felony is not entitled to vote during his period of incarceration but is automatically invested with the right to vote upon release from incarceration, and (iii) to update the existing prohibition on voting by persons found to be mentally incompetent to instead apply to persons who have been found to lack the capacity to understand the act of voting?) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:

Majority of those voting on the amendment (Va. Const. art. XII, sec. 1).

Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not. YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.

What the votes mean (official summary):

• YES: Amends Art. II Sec. 1: fundamental right to vote; felony disqualification only during incarceration, rights (vote, jury, office, notary) restored automatically on release; incapacity bar limited to court finding person cannot understand act of voting (official explanation).

• NO: Felony conviction keeps a lifetime voting ban unless the Governor individually restores rights; broad 'mentally incompetent' disqualification remains (official 'Present Law').

Results: resolves on the result certified by Virginia State Board of Elections / Department of Elections. It may resolve earlier once official returns or the Associated Press show the outcome cannot change and no recount is pending; if a recount or certified correction changes the outcome before resolution, the certified result controls.

No vote: if the measure is removed from the ballot, a court orders its votes not to be counted, or the vote is postponed beyond November 3, 2026, the market resolves N/A.

Later legal challenges: resolution follows voter approval as certified. A court later invalidating, enjoining or delaying the measure does not change the resolution.

Starting probability: 50% is a neutral starting seed, not a forecast.

Official source: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-constitutional-amendment-question-3/