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MANIFOLD
How many electoral votes will the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee win?
5%
Under 200
8%
200–229
19%
230–269
19%
270–299
19%
300–329
14%
330–359
15%
360 or more

Resolves to the range containing the number of electoral votes the Democratic nominee wins on November 7, 2028: the electors pledged to them by each state's certified results, including Maine's and Nebraska's districts. Faithless electors are ignored. If the nominee is replaced on the ballot, the replacement's electoral votes count. N/A if the President is no longer chosen by electoral votes.

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