Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
77
5.8k
2029
57%
chance

Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.

[Attention] Resolves 50% if an independent candidate is elected US president in 2028

Resolves NA if the presidential election is not held in 2028.

Resolves according to the opinion of mainstream liberal news sources like NYT, WaPo, Atlantic, etc. in case of a disputed result.

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