Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
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55%
chance
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Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.
[Attention] Resolves 50% if an independent candidate is elected US president in 2028
Resolves NA if the presidential election is not held in 2028.
Resolves according to the opinion of mainstream liberal news sources like NYT, WaPo, Atlantic, etc. in case of a disputed result.
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