MANIFOLD
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
108
Ṁ1.3kṀ17k
2029
59%
chance

Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.

[Attention] Resolves 50% if an independent candidate is elected US president in 2028

Resolves NA if the presidential election is not held in 2028.

Resolves according to the opinion of mainstream liberal news sources like NYT, WaPo, Atlantic, etc. in case of a disputed result.

Market context
US Politics
Politics
2024 US Presidential Election
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ARB: https://manifold.markets/Ernie/which-political-party-wins-the-us-p-nUsCQcZ6Lc

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