Democrats lose both houses of Congress in 2022
Democrats lose both houses of Congress in 2022
122
464Ṁ18kresolved Nov 30
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
#MattYglesias2022
One of Matt Yglesias' predictions for 2022: https://www.slowboring.com/p/predictions-are-hard
#Politics #Democrats #2022
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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