Democrats lose both houses of Congress in 2022
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#MattYglesias2022
One of Matt Yglesias' predictions for 2022: https://www.slowboring.com/p/predictions-are-hard
#Politics #Democrats #2022
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@Treldman Actually I just realized that the outcomes are likely not independent and so it doesn't make sense to multiply their individual probabilities together (Rs win house and senate). That being said, 538's model gives the Rs both chambers 33% of the time.
Allow me to advertise my market where you can arbitrage this and other markets about US 2022 congressional election outcomes https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/balance-of-power-in-us-congress-aft
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