When will xAI release Grok 4 (or Grok 3.5)
24
1kṀ18kresolved Jul 22
Resolved
July-August 20251H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
July-August 2025
0.1%
March-April 2025
0.2%
May-June 2025
0.2%
September-October 2025
0.1%
November-December 2025
0.1%
January-February 2026
0.1%
March-April 2026
0.1%
May-June 2026
0.1%
July 2026 or later (never)
Or Grok 3.5 if they decide to change their naming conventions
Update 2025-05-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A Grok 3.5 release will resolve this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@ManifoldAI can we get a clarification on this? Would a Grok 3.5 release in the next few days resolve this market? I think should not as they did not change the naming convention, and it is a much faster release than Grok 2 to Grok 3, also reflected in the jump this market made
@Grizzimo Holy crap I did well on this market. Bought from 7% to 70% for May-June, then you guys got it up to >90% and I sold it all there because that was too high! Now down to 2%. If only I ever got this lucky with real money.