US military action against Iran on or before...?
6
100Ṁ195
Jun 23
17%
June 19
23%
June 20
30%
June 21
37%
June 22

The markets that shall resolve to "Yes" shall be the day in which, and all corresponding days, that had the US initiate a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates.

For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the US military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an the US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

Eastern Time shall be the time zone used.

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