Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between June 1, 2025, and June 30, 2025, inclusive, the United States conducts one or more airstrikes, missile strikes, or drone strikes targeting locations within Iran. The market will resolve to "No" if no such military actions occur within this timeframe. Official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense, credible news organizations, or other authoritative sources will serve as the basis for resolution.
Background
On June 13, 2025, Israel launched significant airstrikes on Iran's nuclear facilities, including Natanz and Fordow, targeting key military officials and nuclear scientists. This operation aimed to impede Iran's advancing nuclear capabilities. In response, Iran initiated missile strikes against Israeli cities such as Jerusalem and Tel Aviv. (time.com)
Following these events, Israel has urged the United States to join military operations against Iran to eliminate its nuclear program, citing the need for U.S. capabilities to effectively target heavily fortified sites like the Fordow facility. (axios.com)
As of June 16, 2025, the United States has not publicly confirmed any direct military action against Iran.
Considerations
Official Announcements: Monitor statements from the U.S. government, particularly the Department of Defense, for any announcements regarding military actions targeting Iran.
Media Reports: Stay informed through reputable news outlets for reports on potential U.S. military activities in the region.
Regional Developments: Given the escalating tensions following Israel's recent strikes and Iran's retaliatory actions, the situation remains fluid.
Update 2025-06-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The timeframe of June 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025, will be based on the CET (Central European Time) time zone.
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน23,450 | |
| 2 | แน15,873 | |
| 3 | แน11,237 | |
| 4 | แน7,339 | |
| 5 | แน7,208 |
People are also trading
@adhamsoliman It is time.
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U.S. attacked three Iranian nuclear sites, Trump says, joining Israeli air campaign
@adhamsoliman Market Creator, can you confirm the time zone we are using to determine when June ends for this market?
Can you confirm it aligns with the closing time of this market?
Even more B2s on the way: https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/american-b-2-stealth-bombers-deploy-amid-iran-tensions/
I'm in favor of destroying the Fordow plant but it seems like quite a few more B2 will be in the area than needed for that. I hope it's posturing or contingency planning.
Corroboration:
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U.S. Deploys B-2 Stealth Bombers to the Pacific as Trump Considers Iran Strike: Report
@BrunoJ No, he is bombing within 48 hours. Pretty fantastic ROI, if there are more NO orders at this price, I will have to liquidate other positions
