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MANIFOLD
100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?
72
Ṁ100Ṁ6.7k
resolved Apr 7
Resolved
NO

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by April 30, 2026, there are at least 100 US troops KIA or DOW, as listed by the DoD, attributable to conflict with Iran.

  • Update 2026-03-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator may extend the resolution date beyond April 30, 2026 if there is evidence that the full death toll has not yet been officially released by that date.

Market context
US Politics
Iran
Middle East
Israel-Iran Conflict
Wars
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I have extended the close date to April 7th just to see if any additional information will come out.

ny bad

@DontGoHome Will you extend the resolution date if there is evidence suggesting the death toll has not been fully released by April 30th?

@Chumchulum Good question. If no one objects with a good reason why not then yes, that seems like a sensible thing to do.

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