100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?
7
100Ṁ7252026
1.5%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by April 30, 2026, there are at least 100 US troops KIA or DOW, as listed by the DoD, attributable to conflict with Iran.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
17% chance
US bombs Iran in June 2025?
61% chance
Given who wins the US election, will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2025?
7% chance
Will the US be at war with Iran before the end of 2025
30% chance
Will there be a war between the US and Iran before January 2026?
11% chance
Iranian-backed sleeper cell activity resulting in US casualties before September 11, 2025
7% chance
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?
55% chance
Outcome in Iran by end of 2025? [Read description]