MANIFOLD
US strikes Iran on 2+ separate days in 2025?
134
Ṁ1kṀ180k
resolved Feb 26
Resolved
NO

Resolves Yes if there are multiple US strikes on Iran that collectively span a >24 hr period

Only kinetic strikes such as a bomb, missile, or special forces raid count. And must be officially acknowledged by the US govt

  • Update 2025-06-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Per the creator's clarification:

    • Strikes must be on Iranian soil.

    • Strikes on Iranian vessels do not count.

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@mods Creator gone. Resolves No. Thanks!

@ahalekelly could you please resolve?

Resolves no

bought Ṁ250 NO

Traders who buy YES - why? What is your thesis?

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Dynd I would love to know your theory now that I'm bought in.

How about strikes on Iranian vessels, e.g. if they try to block the straits of Hormuz?

@AhronMaline good question, no it must be a strike on Iranian soil

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